Wednesday, July 29, 2009

SOME GOOD NEWS: NEW RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION ROSE IN JUNE 2009

New home construction rose in June, driven by a strong surge in construction starts on single-family homes, which were up nearly 15 percent from May's level, according to new figures released on July 17th, by the Census Bureau.

The increases in both building permits and construction starts surprised economists, who had predicted little or no change. Overall, building permits issued in June were up 8.7 percent from May, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 563,000. New permits for single-family homes were up nearly 6 percent in June, to an annual rate of 430,000. The survey covers building permits and housing starts for both single-family homes and multiunit buildings.

Overall new housing starts were up 3.6 percent in June, to a seasonally adjusted rate of 582,000 units. The big jump in single-family starts was dampened in the overall figures by a sharp drop in construction starts of multiunit buildings, which dropped by nearly 30 percent following a 60 percent increase in May. The big swing is likely the result of the survey's large margin of sampling error; the Census Bureau cautions that it may take 3-4 months for underlying trends to become reliably established.

By that measure, both new housing permits and housing starts have shown general increases since March after a series of sharp declines throughout the previous year. Both building permits and housing starts in June were at approximately half of their June 2008 levels.

- Don McGraw

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